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3.
CMAJ Open ; 9(2): E460-E465, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33958381

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: People living with HIV and multiple comorbidities have high rates of health service use. This study evaluates system usage before and after admission to a community facility focused on HIV care. METHODS: We used Ontario administrative health databases to conduct a pre-post comparison of rates and costs of hospital admissions, emergency department visits, and family physician and home care visits among medically complex people with HIV in the year before and after admission to Casey House, an HIV-specific hospital in Toronto, for all individuals admitted between April 2009 and March 2015. Negative binomial regression was used to compare rates of health care utilization. We used Wilcoxon rank sum tests to compare associated health care costs, standardized to 2015 Canadian dollars. To contextualize our findings, we present rates and costs of health service use among Ontario residents living with HIV. RESULTS: During the study period, 268 people living with HIV were admitted to Casey House. Emergency department use declined from 4.6 to 2.5 visits per person-year (p = 0.02) after discharge from Casey House, and hospitalization rates declined from 1.4 to 1.1 admissions per person-year (p = 0.05). Conversely, home care visits increased from 24.3 to 35.6 visits per person-year (p = 0.01) and family physician visits increased from 18.3 to 22.6 visits per person-year (p < 0.001) in the year after discharge. These changes were associated with reduced overall costs to the health care system. The reduction in overall costs was not significant (p = 0.2); however, costs of emergency department visits (p < 0.001) and physician visits (p < 0.001) were significantly less. INTERPRETATION: Health care utilization by people with HIV was significantly different before and after admission to a community hospital focused on HIV care. This has implications for health care in other complex patient populations.


Assuntos
Infecções por HIV , Serviços de Assistência Domiciliar , Hospitais Comunitários , Hospitais Especializados , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas , Aceitação pelo Paciente de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Infecções por HIV/economia , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Infecções por HIV/terapia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Serviços de Assistência Domiciliar/economia , Serviços de Assistência Domiciliar/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitais Comunitários/economia , Hospitais Comunitários/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitais Especializados/economia , Hospitais Especializados/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/economia , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/epidemiologia , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/terapia , Ontário/epidemiologia , Avaliação de Processos e Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Alta do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos
4.
Clin Interv Aging ; 16: 767-779, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33981140

RESUMO

PURPOSE: To conduct a systematic review of the economic impact of interventions intended at optimizing medication use in older adults with multimorbidity and polypharmacy. METHODS: We searched Ovid-Medline, Embase, CINAHL, Ageline, Cochrane, and Web of Science, for articles published between 2004 and 2020 that studied older adults with multimorbidity and polypharmacy. The intervention studied had to be aimed at optimizing medication use and present results on costs. RESULTS: Out of 3,871 studies identified by the search strategy, eleven studies were included. The interventions involved different provider types, with a majority described as a multidisciplinary team involving a pharmacist and a general practitioner, in the decision-making process. Interventions were generally associated with a reduction in medication expenditure. The benefits of the intervention in terms of clinical outcomes remain limited. Five studies were cost-benefit analyses, which had a net benefit that was either null or positive. Cost-utility and cost-effectiveness analyses resulted in incremental cost-effectiveness ratios that were generally within the willingness-to-pay thresholds of the countries in which the studies were conducted. However, the quality of the studies was generally low. Omission of key cost elements of economic evaluations, including intervention cost and payer perspective, limited interpretability. CONCLUSION: Interventions to optimize medication use may provide benefits that outweigh their implementation costs, but the evidence remains limited. There is a need to identify and address barriers to the scaling-up of such interventions, starting with the current incentive structures for pharmacists, physicians, and patients.


Assuntos
Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/tratamento farmacológico , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/economia , Polimedicação , Idoso , Análise Custo-Benefício , Humanos , Equipe de Assistência ao Paciente , Farmacêuticos/organização & administração
6.
JAMA Netw Open ; 3(12): e2029068, 2020 12 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33306116

RESUMO

Importance: Medically complex patients are a heterogeneous group that contribute to a substantial proportion of health care costs. Coordinated efforts to improve care and reduce costs for this patient population have had limited success to date. Objective: To define distinct patient clinical profiles among the most medically complex patients through clinical interpretation of analytically derived patient clusters. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study analyzed the most medically complex patients within Kaiser Permanente Northern California, a large integrated health care delivery system, based on comorbidity score, prior emergency department admissions, and predicted likelihood of hospitalization, from July 18, 2018, to July 15, 2019. From a starting point of over 5000 clinical variables, we used both clinical judgment and analytic methods to reduce to the 97 most informative covariates. Patients were then grouped using 2 methods (latent class analysis, generalized low-rank models, with k-means clustering). Results were interpreted by a panel of clinical stakeholders to define clinically meaningful patient profiles. Main Outcomes and Measures: Complex patient profiles, 1-year health care utilization, and mortality outcomes by profile. Results: The analysis included 104 869 individuals representing 3.3% of the adult population (mean [SD] age, 70.7 [14.5] years; 52.4% women; 39% non-White race/ethnicity). Latent class analysis resulted in a 7-class solution. Stakeholders defined the following complex patient profiles (prevalence): high acuity (9.4%), older patients with cardiovascular complications (15.9%), frail elderly (12.5%), pain management (12.3%), psychiatric illness (12.0%), cancer treatment (7.6%), and less engaged (27%). Patients in these groups had significantly different 1-year mortality rates (ranging from 3.0% for psychiatric illness profile to 23.4% for frail elderly profile; risk ratio, 7.9 [95% CI, 7.1-8.8], P < .001). Repeating the analysis using k-means clustering resulted in qualitatively similar groupings. Each clinical profile suggested a distinct collaborative care strategy to optimize management. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings suggest that highly medically complex patient populations may be categorized into distinct patient profiles that are amenable to varying strategies for resource allocation and coordinated care interventions.


Assuntos
Hospitalização/tendências , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas , Aceitação pelo Paciente de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Administração dos Cuidados ao Paciente , Idoso , California/epidemiologia , Análise por Conglomerados , Etnicidade/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Alocação de Recursos para a Atenção à Saúde/métodos , Humanos , Análise de Classes Latentes , Masculino , Transtornos Mentais/epidemiologia , Mortalidade , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/classificação , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/economia , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/epidemiologia , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/terapia , Administração dos Cuidados ao Paciente/economia , Administração dos Cuidados ao Paciente/normas , Melhoria de Qualidade/organização & administração , Alocação de Recursos/métodos
7.
J Gerontol B Psychol Sci Soc Sci ; 75(2): 459-470, 2020 01 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29471360

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: We explore adverse consequences of unmet needs for care among high-need/high-cost (HNHC) older adults. METHOD: Interviews with 4,024 community-dwelling older adults with ADL/IADL/mobility disabilities from the 2011 National Health and Aging Trends Study (NHATS). Reports of socio-demographics, disability compensatory strategies, and adverse consequences of unmet needs in the past month were obtained from older adults with multiple chronic conditions (MCC), probable dementia (DEM), and/or near end-of-life (EOL) and compared older adults not meeting these criteria. RESULTS: Older adults with MCC (31.6%), DEM (39.6%), and EOL (48.7%) reported significantly more adverse consequences than low-need older adults (21.4%). Persons with MCC and DEM (53.4%), MCC, and EOL (53.2%), and all three (MCC, DEM, EOL, 65.6%) reported the highest levels of adverse consequences. HNHC participants reported more environmental modifications, assistive device, and larger helper networks. HNHC status independently predicted greater adverse consequences after controlling for disability compensatory strategies in multivariate models. DISCUSSION: Adverse consequences of unmet needs for care are prevalent among HNHC older adults, especially those with multiple indicators, despite more disability-related compensatory efforts and larger helper networks. Helping caregivers provide better informal care has potential to contain healthcare costs by reducing hospitalization and unplanned readmissions.


Assuntos
Necessidades e Demandas de Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/epidemiologia , Atividades Cotidianas , Fatores Etários , Idoso/estatística & dados numéricos , Demência/economia , Demência/epidemiologia , Pessoas com Deficiência/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Necessidades e Demandas de Serviços de Saúde/economia , Humanos , Masculino , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/economia , Fatores Sexuais , Assistência Terminal/economia , Assistência Terminal/estatística & dados numéricos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
8.
Diabetes Res Clin Pract ; 159: 107984, 2020 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31846667

RESUMO

AIMS: The aims of this study are to confirm disparities in diabetes mortality rates based on race, determine if race predicts combinations of diabetes and multiple chronic conditions (MCC) that are leading causes of death (LCD), and determine if combinations of diabetes plus MCC mediate the relationship between race and mortality. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of 443,932 Medicare beneficiaries in the State of Michigan with type 2 diabetes mellitus and MCC. We applied Cox proportional hazards regression to determine predictors of mortality. We applied multinomial logistic regression to determine predictors of MCC combinations. RESULTS: We found that race influences mortality in Medicare beneficiaries with Type 2 diabetes mellitus and MCC. Prior to adjusting for MCC combinations, we observed that Blacks and American Indian/Alaska Natives have increased risk of mortality compared to Whites, while there is no difference in mortality between Hispanics and Whites. Regarding MCC combinations, Black/African American beneficiaries experience increased odds for most MCC combinations while Asian/Pacific Islanders and Hispanics experience lower odds for MCC combinations, compared to Whites. When adjusting for MCC, mortality disparities observed between Whites, Black/African Americans, and American Indians/Alaska Natives persist. CONCLUSIONS: Compared to Whites, Black/African Americans in our cohort had increased odds of most MCC combinations, and an increased risk of mortality that persisted even after adjusting for MCC combinations.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/etnologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/mortalidade , Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/etnologia , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/mortalidade , Negro ou Afro-Americano/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Causas de Morte , Estudos de Coortes , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/economia , Feminino , Hispânico ou Latino/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Índios Norte-Americanos/estatística & dados numéricos , Masculino , Medicare/estatística & dados numéricos , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/economia , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/epidemiologia , Grupos Raciais/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
9.
BMC Health Serv Res ; 19(1): 981, 2019 Dec 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31856797

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Cancer increases the risk of developing one or more chronic conditions, yet little research describes the associations between health care costs, utilization patterns, and chronic conditions in adults with cancer. The objective of this study was to examine the treated prevalence of chronic conditions and the association between chronic conditions and health care expenses in US adults with cancer. METHODS: This retrospective observational study used US Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS) Household Component (2010-2015) data sampling adults diagnosed with cancer and one or more of 18 select chronic conditions. The measures used were treated prevalence of chronic conditions, and total and chronic condition-specific health expenses (per-person, per-year). Generalized linear models assessed chronic condition-specific expenses in adults with cancer vs. without cancer and the association of chronic conditions on total health expenses in adults with cancer, respectively, by controlling for demographic and health characteristics. Accounting for the complex survey design in MEPS, all data analyses and statistical procedures applied longitudinal weights for national estimates. RESULTS: Among 3657 eligible adults with cancer, 83.9% (n = 3040; representing 16 million US individuals per-year) had at least one chronic condition, and 29.7% reported four or more conditions. Among those with cancer, hypertension (59.7%), hyperlipidemia (53.6%), arthritis (25.6%), diabetes (22.2%), and coronary artery disease (18.2%) were the five most prevalent chronic conditions. Chronic conditions accounted for 30% of total health expenses. Total health expenses were $6388 higher for those with chronic conditions vs. those without (p < 0.001). Health expenses associated with chronic conditions increased by 34% in adults with cancer vs. those without cancer after adjustment. CONCLUSIONS: In US adults with cancer, the treated prevalence of common chronic conditions was high and health expenses associated with chronic conditions were higher than those without cancer. A holistic treatment plan is needed to improve cost outcomes.


Assuntos
Gastos em Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/economia , Neoplasias/economia , Adulto , Estudos Transversais , Complicações do Diabetes/complicações , Complicações do Diabetes/economia , Complicações do Diabetes/epidemiologia , Feminino , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Hipertensão/complicações , Hipertensão/economia , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Modelos Lineares , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/epidemiologia , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/terapia , Neoplasias/complicações , Neoplasias/terapia , Prevalência , Estudos Retrospectivos , Inquéritos e Questionários , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
10.
BMJ Open ; 9(10): e029340, 2019 10 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31619421

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To (1) examine the burden of multiple chronic conditions (MCC) in an urban health system, and (2) propose a methodology to identify subpopulations of interest based on diagnosis groups and costs. DESIGN: Retrospective cross-sectional study. SETTING: Mount Sinai Health System, set in all five boroughs of New York City, USA. PARTICIPANTS: 192 085 adult (18+) plan members of capitated Medicaid contracts between the Healthfirst managed care organisation and the Mount Sinai Health System in the years 2012 to 2014. METHODS: We classified adults as having 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 or 5+ chronic conditions from a list of 69 chronic conditions. After summarising the demographics, geography and prevalence of MCC within this population, we then described groups of patients (segments) using a novel methodology: we combinatorially defined 18 768 potential segments of patients by a pair of chronic conditions, a sex and an age group, and then ranked segments by (1) frequency, (2) cost and (3) ratios of observed to expected frequencies of co-occurring chronic conditions. We then compiled pairs of conditions that occur more frequently together than otherwise expected. RESULTS: 61.5% of the study population suffers from two or more chronic conditions. The most frequent dyad was hypertension and hyperlipidaemia (19%) and the most frequent triad was diabetes, hypertension and hyperlipidaemia (10%). Women aged 50 to 65 with hypertension and hyperlipidaemia were the leading cost segment in the study population. Costs and prevalence of MCC increase with number of conditions and age. The disease dyads associated with the largest observed/expected ratios were pulmonary disease and myocardial infarction. Inter-borough range MCC prevalence was 16%. CONCLUSIONS: In this low-income, urban population, MCC is more prevalent (61%) than nationally (42%), motivating further research and intervention in this population. By identifying potential target populations in an interpretable manner, this segmenting methodology has utility for health services analysts.


Assuntos
Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/epidemiologia , Serviços Urbanos de Saúde , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Comorbidade , Estudos Transversais , Diabetes Mellitus/economia , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologia , Feminino , Glaucoma/economia , Glaucoma/epidemiologia , Gastos em Saúde , Humanos , Hiperlipidemias/economia , Hiperlipidemias/epidemiologia , Hipertensão/economia , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/economia , Cidade de Nova Iorque/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Distribuição por Sexo , Adulto Jovem
11.
Geriatr Gerontol Int ; 19(8): 699-704, 2019 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31397060

RESUMO

The number of older adults is increasing worldwide, including in Asian countries. Various problems associated with medical care for older adults are being highlighted in aging societies. As the number of chronic diseases increases with age, older adults are more likely to have multiple chronic diseases simultaneously (multimorbidity). Multimorbidity results in poor health-related outcomes, leading to increased use and cost of healthcare. Above all, it leads to deterioration in older adults' quality of life. However, it is unclear whether any medical interventions are effective for multimorbidity, which means medical practitioners currently offer medical care "in the dark." It is therefore necessary for researchers and medical professionals involved in geriatric medicine to establish ways to manage multimorbidity among older adults. This means that the development of research in this field is essential. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2019; 19: 699-704.


Assuntos
Geriatria , Multimorbidade/tendências , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas , Qualidade de Vida , Idoso , Geriatria/métodos , Geriatria/tendências , Saúde Global , Serviços de Saúde para Idosos , Transição Epidemiológica , Humanos , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/economia , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/epidemiologia , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/psicologia , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/terapia , Pesquisa
12.
JAMA Netw Open ; 2(7): e196939, 2019 07 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31298714

RESUMO

Importance: People with complex needs account for a disproportionate amount of Medicare spending, partially because of fragmented care delivered across multiple practitioners and settings. Accountable care organization (ACO) contracts give practitioners incentives to improve care coordination to the extent that coordination initiatives reduce total spending or improve quality. Objective: To assess the association between ACO-reported care management and coordination activities and quality, utilization, spending, and health care system interactions in older adults with complex needs. Design, Setting, and Participants: In this cross-sectional study, survey information on care management and coordination processes from 244 Medicare Shared Savings Program ACOs in the 2017-2018 National Survey of ACOs (of 351 Medicare ACO respondents; response rate, 69%) conducted from July 20, 2017, to February 15, 2018, was linked to 2016 Medicare administrative claims data. Medicare beneficiaries 66 years or older who were defined as having complex needs because of frailty or 2 or more chronic conditions associated with high costs and clinical need were included. Exposures: Beneficiary attribution to ACO reporting comprehensive (top tertile) care management and coordination activities. Main Outcomes and Measures: All-cause prevention quality indicator admissions, 30-day all-cause readmissions, acute care and critical access hospital admissions, evaluation and management visits in ambulatory settings, inpatient days, emergency department visits, total spending, post-acute care spending, health care contact days, and continuity of care (from Medicare claims). Results: Among 1 402 582 Medicare beneficiaries with complex conditions, the mean (SD) age was 78 (8.0) years and 55.1% were female. Compared with beneficiaries assigned to ACOs in the bottom tertile of care management and coordination activities, those assigned to ACOs in the top tertile had identical median prevention quality indicator admissions and 30-day all-cause readmissions (0 per beneficiary across all tertiles), hospitalization and emergency department visits (1.0 per beneficiary in bottom and top tertiles), evaluation and management visits in ambulatory settings (14.0 per beneficiary [interquartile range (IQR), 8.0-21.0] in both tertiles), longer median inpatient days (11.0 [IQR, 4.0-33.0] vs 10.0 [IQR, 4.0-32.0]), higher median annual spending ($14 350 [IQR, $4876-$36 119] vs $14 229 [IQR, $4805-$36 268]), lower median health care contact days (28.0 [IQR, 17.0-44.0] vs 29.0 [IQR, 18.0-45.0]), and lower continuity-of-care index (0.12 [IQR, 0.08-0.20] vs 0.13 [IQR, 0.08-0.21]). Accounting for within-patient correlation, quality, utilization, and spending outcomes among patients with complex needs attributed to ACOs were not statistically different comparing the top vs bottom tertile of care management and coordination activities. Conclusions and Relevance: The ACO self-reports of care management and coordination capacity were not associated with differences in spending or measured outcomes for patients with complex needs. Future efforts to care for patients with complex needs should assess whether strategies found to be effective in other settings are being used, and if so, why they fail to meet expectations.


Assuntos
Organizações de Assistência Responsáveis/economia , Fragilidade/epidemiologia , Medicare/economia , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/epidemiologia , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Estudos Transversais , Planos de Pagamento por Serviço Prestado/economia , Feminino , Fragilidade/classificação , Fragilidade/economia , Humanos , Masculino , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/classificação , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/economia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
13.
PLoS One ; 14(6): e0217696, 2019.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31216301

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Approximately 28% of adults have ≥3 chronic conditions (CCs), accounting for two-thirds of U.S. healthcare costs, and often having suboptimal outcomes. Despite Institute of Medicine recommendations in 2001 to integrate guidelines for multiple CCs, progress is minimal. The vast number of unique combinations of CCs may limit progress. METHODS AND FINDINGS: To determine whether major CCs segregate differentially in limited groups, electronic health record and Medicare paid claims data were examined in one accountable care organization with 44,645 Medicare beneficiaries continuously enrolled throughout 2015. CCs predicting clinical outcomes were obtained from diagnostic codes. Agglomerative hierarchical clustering defined 13 groups having similar within group patterns of CCs and named for the most common CC. Two groups, congestive heart failure (CHF) and kidney disease (CKD), included 23% of beneficiaries with a very high CC burden (10.5 and 8.1 CCs/beneficiary, respectively). Five groups with 54% of beneficiaries had a high CC burden ranging from 7.1 to 5.9 (descending order: neurological, diabetes, cancer, cardiovascular, chronic pulmonary). Six groups with 23% of beneficiaries had an intermediate-low CC burden ranging from 4.7 to 0.4 (behavioral health, obesity, osteoarthritis, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, 'other'). Hypertension and hyperlipidemia were common across groups, whereas 80% of CHF segregated to the CHF group, 85% of CKD to CKD and CHF groups, 82% of cancer to Cancer, CHF, and CKD groups, and 85% of neurological disorders to Neuro, CHF, and CKD groups. Behavioral health diagnoses were common only in groups with a high CC burden. The number of CCs/beneficiary explained 36% of the variance (R2 = 0.36) in claims paid/beneficiary. CONCLUSIONS: Identifying a limited number of groups with high burdens of CCs that disproportionately drive costs may help inform a practical number of integrated guidelines and resources required for comprehensive management. Cluster informed guideline integration may improve care quality and outcomes, while reducing costs.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Nefropatias/epidemiologia , Medicare/economia , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/epidemiologia , Organizações de Assistência Responsáveis/economia , Idoso , Diabetes Mellitus/economia , Feminino , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Insuficiência Cardíaca/economia , Humanos , Nefropatias/economia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/economia , Estados Unidos
14.
Health Serv Res ; 54(2): 484-491, 2019 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30790281

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: The study's purpose was to describe the cumulative duration of 19 chronic conditions among Medicare fee-for-service (FFS) beneficiaries and examine variation in total expenditures explained by cumulative duration and condition counts. DESIGN, SETTING, STUDY DESIGN, AND DATA EXTRACTION: In a retrospective cohort of FFS beneficiaries age ≥68, 2015 Medicare enrollment and claims data (N = 20 124 230) were used to identify the presence or absence of 19 diagnosed chronic conditions, and to construct MCC categories (0-1, 2-3, 4-5, 6+) and cumulative duration of each of 19 conditions from the date of first possible occurrence in claims (1/1/1999) to the end of follow-up (date of death or 12/31/2015). Total Medicare expenditures were estimated using linear models adjusted for demographic characteristics. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Multimorbidity was common (71.7 percent with 2+ conditions). The mean cumulative duration of all 19 conditions was 23.6 person-years, which varied greatly by age and number of conditions. Condition counts were more predictive of Medicare expenditures than cumulative duration (R-squared for continuous measures = 0.461 vs 0.272; R-squared for quartiles = 0.408 vs 0.266). CONCLUSIONS: The cumulative duration of chronic conditions varied widely for Medicare beneficiaries, especially for those with 6+ conditions, but was less predictive of total expenditures than condition counts.


Assuntos
Planos de Pagamento por Serviço Prestado/estatística & dados numéricos , Gastos em Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Medicare/estatística & dados numéricos , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/epidemiologia , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Planos de Pagamento por Serviço Prestado/economia , Feminino , Humanos , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros , Masculino , Medicare/economia , Modelos Econômicos , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/economia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores Sexuais , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Estados Unidos
15.
BMJ Open ; 9(1): e024724, 2019 02 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30782742

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: The University of Utah (UofU) Health intensive outpatient clinic (IOC) is a primary care clinic for medically complex (high-cost, high-need) patients with Medicaid. The clinic consists of a multidisciplinary care team aimed at providing coordinated, comprehensive and patient-centred care. The protocol outlines the quantitative design of an evaluation study to determine the IOC's effects on reducing healthcare utilisation and costs, as well as improving patient-reported health outcomes and quality of care. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: High-risk patients, with high utilisation and multiple chronic illnesses, were identified in the Medicaid ACO population managed by the UofU Health plans for IOC eligibility. A prospective, case-control study design is being used to match 100 IOC patients to 200 control patients (receiving usual care within the UofU) based on demographics, health utilisation and medical complexity for evaluating the primary outcome of change in healthcare utilisation and costs. For the secondary outcomes of patient health and care quality, a prepost design will be used to examine within-person change across the 18 months of follow-up (ie, before and after IOC intervention). Logistic regression and hierarchical, longitudinal growth modelling are the two primary modelling approaches. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This work has received ethics approval by the UofU Institutional Review Board. Results from the evaluation of primary and secondary outcomes will be disseminated in scientific research journals and presented at national conferences.


Assuntos
Assistência Ambulatorial/organização & administração , Atenção à Saúde/organização & administração , Utilização de Instalações e Serviços/estatística & dados numéricos , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/terapia , Atenção Primária à Saúde/organização & administração , Centros Médicos Acadêmicos , Assistência Ambulatorial/economia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Atenção à Saúde/economia , Utilização de Instalações e Serviços/economia , Necessidades e Demandas de Serviços de Saúde , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Medicaid , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/economia , Equipe de Assistência ao Paciente , Medidas de Resultados Relatados pelo Paciente , Assistência Centrada no Paciente , Atenção Primária à Saúde/economia , Avaliação de Programas e Projetos de Saúde , Estudos Prospectivos , Estados Unidos , Utah
16.
Health Serv Res ; 54(2): 466-473, 2019 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30467846

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this work was to assess the effectiveness of a population-level patient-centered intervention for multimorbid patients based on risk stratification for case finding in 2014 compared with the baseline scenario in 2012. DATA SOURCE: Clinical and administrative databases. STUDY DESIGN: This was an observational cohort study with an intervention group and a historical control group. A propensity score by a genetic matching approach was used to minimize bias. Generalized linear models were used to analyze relationships among variables. DATA COLLECTION: We included all eligible patients at the beginning of the year and followed them until death or until the follow-up period concluded (end of the year). The control group (2012) totaled 3558 patients, and 4225 patients were in the intervention group (2014). PRINCIPAL FINDING: A patient-centered strategy based on risk stratification for case finding and the implementation of an integrated program based on new professional roles and an extensive infrastructure of information and communication technologies avoided 9 percent (OR: 0.91, CI: 0.86-0.96) of hospitalizations. However, this effect was not found in nonprioritized groups whose probability of hospitalization increased (OR: 1.19, CI = 1.09-1.30). CONCLUSIONS: In a before-and-after analysis using propensity score matching, a comprehensive, patient-centered, integrated care intervention was associated with a lower risk of hospital admission among prioritized patients, but not among patients who were not prioritized to receive the intervention.


Assuntos
Assistência Integral à Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/economia , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/epidemiologia , Assistência Centrada no Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Risco Ajustado/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Europa (Continente) , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pontuação de Propensão , Integração de Sistemas
17.
Am J Manag Care ; 24(11): e365-e370, 2018 11 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30452205

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Medicare, Medicaid, and commercial plans have all explored ways to improve outcomes for patients with high costs and complex medical and social needs. The purpose of this study was to test the effectiveness of a high-intensity care management program that the Rutgers University Center for State Health Policy (CSHP) implemented as an adaptation of a promising model developed by the Camden Coalition of Healthcare Providers. STUDY DESIGN: We estimated the impact of the program on 6 utilization and spending outcomes for a subgroup of beneficiaries enrolled in Medicare fee-for-service (n = 149) and a matched comparison group (n = 1130). METHODS: We used Medicare claims for all analyses. We used propensity score matching to construct a comparison group of beneficiaries with baseline characteristics similar to those of program participants. We employed regression models to test the relationship between program enrollment and outcomes over a 12-month period while controlling for baseline characteristics. RESULTS: A test of joint significance across all outcomes showed that the CSHP program reduced service use and spending in aggregate (P = .012), although estimates for most of the individual measures were not statistically significant. Participants had 37% fewer unplanned readmissions (P = .086) than did comparison beneficiaries. Although we did not find statistically significant results for the other 5 outcomes, the CIs for these outcomes spanned substantively large effects. CONCLUSIONS: Although these findings are mixed, they suggest that adaptations of the Camden model hold promise for reducing short-term service use and spending for Medicare super-utilizers.


Assuntos
Serviços de Saúde Comunitária/organização & administração , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/terapia , Administração dos Cuidados ao Paciente/organização & administração , Serviços de Saúde Comunitária/economia , Planos de Pagamento por Serviço Prestado/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Gastos em Saúde , Recursos em Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Masculino , Medicare/estatística & dados numéricos , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/economia , Aceitação pelo Paciente de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Administração dos Cuidados ao Paciente/economia , Readmissão do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Pontuação de Propensão , Estados Unidos
18.
BMJ Open ; 8(9): e023113, 2018 09 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30196269

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the characteristics and healthcare utilisation of high-cost patients and to compare high-cost patients across payers and countries. DESIGN: Systematic review. DATA SOURCES: PubMed and Embase databases were searched until 30 October 2017. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA AND OUTCOMES: Our final search was built on three themes: 'high-cost', 'patients', and 'cost' and 'cost analysis'. We included articles that reported characteristics and utilisation of the top-X% (eg, top-5% and top-10%) patients of costs of a given population. Analyses were limited to studies that covered a broad range of services, across the continuum of care. Andersen's behavioural model was used to categorise characteristics and determinants into predisposing, enabling and need characteristics. RESULTS: The studies pointed to a high prevalence of multiple (chronic) conditions to explain high-cost patients' utilisation. Besides, we found a high prevalence of mental illness across all studies and a prevalence higher than 30% in US Medicaid and total population studies. Furthermore, we found that high costs were associated with increasing age but that still more than halve of high-cost patients were younger than 65 years. High costs were associated with higher incomes in the USA but with lower incomes elsewhere. Preventable spending was estimated at maximally 10% of spending. The top-10%, top-5% and top-1% high-cost patients accounted for respectively 68%, 55% and 24% of costs within a given year. Spending persistency varied between 24% and 48%. Finally, we found that no more than 30% of high-cost patients are in their last year of life. CONCLUSIONS: High-cost patients make up the sickest and most complex populations, and their high utilisation is primarily explained by high levels of chronic and mental illness. High-cost patients are diverse populations and vary across payer types and countries. Tailored interventions are needed to meet the needs of high-cost patients and to avoid waste of scarce resources.


Assuntos
Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviços de Saúde , Serviços de Saúde Mental , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas , Aceitação pelo Paciente de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Custos e Análise de Custo , Prestação Integrada de Cuidados de Saúde/economia , Prestação Integrada de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Saúde Global/economia , Saúde Global/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviços de Saúde/economia , Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Renda/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviços de Saúde Mental/economia , Serviços de Saúde Mental/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/economia , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/epidemiologia , Determinação de Necessidades de Cuidados de Saúde , Prevalência
19.
Issue Brief (Commonw Fund) ; 2018: 1-15, 2018 Sep 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30211508

RESUMO

Issue: An estimated 40 percent of low-income Medicare beneficiaries spend 20 percent or more of their incomes on premiums and health care costs. Low-income beneficiaries with multiple chronic conditions or high need are at particular risk of financial hardship. High cost burdens reflect Medicare premiums and cost-sharing, gaps in benefits, and limited assistance. Existing policies to help people with low incomes are fragmented ­ meaning that beneficiaries apply separately, sometimes to different offices ­ and require Medicare beneficiaries to navigate complex applications. Goals: With the goal of enhancing access and affordability for people vulnerable due to low incomes and poor health, this issue brief proposes a policy that would reduce Medicare's cost-sharing and premiums for beneficiaries with incomes below 150 percent of the federal poverty level. Methods: Profile current cost burdens by income groups and assess the potential impact of a policy to expand cost-sharing and premium assistance using the 2012 Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey projected to 2016. Results and Conclusion: The policy described could help 8.1 million low-income beneficiaries, significantly lowering their risk of high cost burdens. It also could simplify the administration of assistance provided to these enrollees.


Assuntos
Política de Saúde/economia , Acesso aos Serviços de Saúde/economia , Medicare Part A/economia , Medicare Part B/economia , Medicare/economia , Custo Compartilhado de Seguro/economia , Humanos , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/economia , Pobreza , Estados Unidos
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